UPDATE: Commenter Gary tells us that CBS has pulled the story after AP told them they didn’t write it. That is true – the link to the story gives a “Page Not Found” error. Hopefully Gary can keep us apprised of events as they unfold.
I’m kind of an agnostic on global warming, because I think it has been a poster child for bad science. The politicization of the field has corrupted the research so badly that I despair for the ethics of the profession.
But today we have something much, much sillier than bad research. What we have instead is the AP and CBS news being completely duped by a new age guru from Australia:
New research compiled by Australian scientist Dr. Tom Chalko shows that global seismic activity on Earth is now five times more energetic than it was just 20 years ago.
The research proves that destructive ability of earthquakes on Earth increases alarmingly fast and that this trend is set to continue, unless the problem of “global warming” is comprehensively and urgently addressed.
You might be wondering how global warming can possibly affect seismic activity. Here’s his explanation:
“NASA measurements from space confirm that Earth as a whole absorbs at least 0.85 Megawatt per square kilometer more energy from the Sun than it is able to radiate back to space. This ‘thermal imbalance’ means that heat generated in the planetary interior cannot escape and that the planetary interior must overheat. Increase in seismic, tectonic and volcanic activities is an unavoidable consequence of the observed thermal imbalance of the planet,” said Dr. Chalko.
The Nonsense. Now, if you know anything about heat transfer, this is complete idiocy. If you don’t, then consider this: the temperature of the top of the Earth’s mantle is about 1600 F, and the temperature at the Earth’s surface is around 100 F. The temperature rise since the 1990’s is about 1 degree Fahrenheit. That will have an immeasurably tiny effect on the heat loss from the mantle to the surface (~0.1%).
Or look at it this way: if his theory were true, we would have many more earthquakes in summer than in winter. But in fact, the opposite is true. And the reason has nothing to do with heat loss – it has to do with water level variations with the seasons.
The Pwnage: I don’t really expect the AP and CBS to know anything about heat transfer. But I do expect them to do a rudimentary background check on their source. A quick Google search reveals one of his biographies, where we find:
He plays classical guitar exceptionally well, enjoys windsurfing (he calls himself a speed addict here), takes time to practice meditation, telepathy and astral travel. His hobbies include challenging paradigms and paradoxes in geophysics, studying puzzling properties of electro-photonic glow (Auras) using Kirlian camera, learning to see human aura, discovering purpose of life, as well as organizing controversial seminars.
His PhD, by the way, is in laser holography. Not climatology, geology, or heat transfer.
The AP and CBS were so eager to jump on the global warming bandwagon that they allowed a telepathic astral-projecting aura reader sell them on some hokum that can’t pass the scientific laugh test.
Layers and layers of fact-checking – wasn’t that the phrase?
UPDATE (Just for DaveinTX): Dave wasn’t happy with the lack of scientific-type knowledge here, so he demanded a real live equation. So here you go, Dave:
For the less erudite and Texans among us, that there is the equation for how much heat gets out of a spherical shell, i.e., how much heat gets through the crust of the Earth.
Just looking at the equation you can see that: given that (T1-T2) is about 1500 F, if T2 (the temperature at the Earth’s surface) changes by one degree, the heat escaping will change by 1/1500 = 0.067%.

June 19, 2008 at 5:59 am
Clearly, he used his telepathy to accumulate knowledge from dozens, if not hundreds, of other scientists. So he knows more than you. DUH.
June 19, 2008 at 7:11 am
His PhD, by the way, is in laser holography
I wonder if he considers himself a Lightworker?
June 19, 2008 at 7:42 am
astral, but accurate!
June 19, 2008 at 8:23 am
The second law of thermodynamics trips up another junk scientist.
June 19, 2008 at 8:25 am
Laser holography?
Don’t they do that sort of stuff at the Planetarium on Friday nights and set to Pink Floyd?
June 19, 2008 at 8:27 am
Don’t they do that sort of stuff at the Planetarium on Friday nights and set to Pink Floyd?
Well, that’s only the really useful laser holographers. The rest make pictures of silly stuff.
June 19, 2008 at 8:34 am
I thought this was a joke…but its not. This is scary.
June 19, 2008 at 8:38 am
New research compiled by Australian scientist Dr. Tom Chalko shows that global seismic activity on Earth is now five times more energetic than it was just 20 years ago.
Such information and research would be highly welcomed by those out to prove that we are, indeed, in the End Times, approaching the Apocalypse.
Loons on the Right, meet the loons on the Left.
(For the record, I do believe we are in the End Times, but that the ravages thereof are more spiritual than physical, although physical manifestations do appear and have been prophesized. The spiritual perils are far more dangerous, because if a man loses his life, he can still live forever in the Hereafter, but if he loses his soul, he is stuck here and in the Hereafter.)
June 19, 2008 at 9:16 am
Geoff, your aura looks very dim today. You need to stop being so skeptical.
June 19, 2008 at 9:34 am
Yea, I caught this story last night and blogged about it at my site. Nevermind that they didn’t look at the biography or thought he was legitimate from that (maybe the reporter believed that aura crap?). They could have at least looked at the “journal” the news article cited as where the work was “published.” It’s Chalko’s own website. He’s the sole author that publishes in the journal. According to the website, “Natural Univeristy” is the publisher, which doesn’t exist…except via a webpage ran by guess who: Chalko.
But you would not have found out the journal or that Chalko is self-employed by the CBS/AP article. I googled the guy and found an MSNBC article that actually had more information about him – namely his contact information (including phone number) and the link to the pdf file of the “journal article.” I wonder if that information was intentionally removed from the AP/CBS article?
Go to my site if you want more details on what I dug up. Scientifically, of course, it’s complete crap for some of the reasons mentioned above, but what really irks me is that he managed to get the story published with no scrutiny.
June 19, 2008 at 9:44 am
AP tells me they didn’t write it at all and are going to demand CBS News take their name
off of it.
June 19, 2008 at 9:52 am
If the book-shill site for “Freedom of Choice” weren’t hoot enough, the attached book “forum discussion” is a kook-lover’s side-splitting dream.
A challenged Chalko responds with the FACTS!
June 19, 2008 at 9:56 am
Here’s the website link for that book
Freedom of Choice
“he demonstrates to the astonished reader, that the in using our Individual Intellects to discover and prove the Purpose of the entire Universe for ourselves”
“Wouldn’t you like to KNOW what is really going on in the Universe and WHY? Why did it happen? Why it HAD TO happen? Wouldn’t you like to discover and prove it all without moving from your armchair?”
June 19, 2008 at 9:58 am
Curse you Geoff, and your CENSORSHIP! And your POLITICAL MACHINATIONS!
June 19, 2008 at 10:03 am
Mr. Climate Expert: wearing a shirt helps your aura:
http://bioresonant.com/faqb.html
Okay, I was involved in the whole New Age thing once, and even most New Agers would not believe that just wearing a shirt will affect auras. He’s a kook even by kooks’ standards.
(To affect auras you need meditation, crystals, and energywork.)
June 19, 2008 at 10:09 am
the heat escaping will change by 1/1500 = 0.067%
Just being a dumbass meteorologist AGW-denier, I’d hazard a guess that is well within the level of noise in the system…
June 19, 2008 at 10:13 am
Oh, I see. He appears to have had some instruction or contact beyond our planetary borders, at least that is implied by his unusual way of qualifying people and scientists. (in bold, below)
In 2006 the only way to limit the scale…{blah blah.]… reforestation of every acre on Earth. This approach requires uniting action of every person on the planet, Recent tsunamis and earthquakes seem not serious enough to change attitudes and priorities of people of Earth.
As for scientists on Earth, they are paid by the “system”. As the case of Dr Hansen demonstrates, those who dare to speak out are censored and gagged. The next stage after gagging is dismissal and public ridicule using the mass media.
June 19, 2008 at 10:14 am
This isn’t the lightworker I knew.
June 19, 2008 at 10:21 am
reforestation of every acre on Earth
So, we need to utterly get rid of the deserts, the poles, the oceans, the plains, the tundras, the farms…and then we have to learn to live in trees? (To do this, we’ll need massive global warming, which he’s opposed to.)
Do people ever complete their thoughts? Half-baked suggestions are so idiotic, they’re not even funny.
June 19, 2008 at 10:22 am
and if he’s right, wouldn’t we also expect to see earthquake epicenters clustered around the equator? (which we don’t)
well, at least he’s an exceptionally good classical guitar player!
June 19, 2008 at 10:49 am
It’s particularly odd that such an accomplished practitioner of the mystical arts wouldn’t know that earthquakes are caused by bad karma:
June 19, 2008 at 11:01 am
Actually, I should take back the argument about seasonal variation. I don’t think the heat transfer from the mantle notices the seasons at all.
There are, however, many other arguments I could make, the most obvious of which is: equilibrium will be restored if the earth’s upper mantle increases its temperature by 1 degree. If a 1 degree temperature rise is sufficient to quintuple the energy of earthquakes, then the earth would have shattered during the Jurassic period, when the temperature increased by 9 F.
June 19, 2008 at 11:23 am
reforestation of every acre on Earth
That’s right, all you stiff-necked nonbeliever/denier/oil shills- every acre of Earth must be replanted with the trees that existed before the oil barons destroyed them. I refer, of course, to astral psychic light-working trees. Scoff at your peril, people of Earth…
(As a scientist from Earth, I deny categorically that I am being paid by the system. Well, not nearly enough, anyway.)
June 19, 2008 at 12:16 pm
CBS yanked the story after AP demanded they do so, because the AP says they didn’t write it.
CBS New has some explaining to do. The story is gone with no explanation or retraction.
June 19, 2008 at 12:19 pm
Thanks for the update, Gary.
June 19, 2008 at 12:59 pm
HAH! They pulled it!!
June 19, 2008 at 2:14 pm
I was bummed that the article didn’t have a byline. It would have been amusing to see who wrote it. But now it’s gone.
June 19, 2008 at 2:45 pm
Geoff, it was when I asked someone at AP who wrote it that they claimed it wasn’t theirs at all and that they were going to get CBS to yank it. I wish CBS would explain how/if they mis-attributed this story and retract it rather than just black-holing the who thing. The AP said they didn’t know about this story until I asked. I understand from another blog that the AP itself had the story and they also yanked it.
So, it’s curious.
June 19, 2008 at 2:49 pm
Sounds like the AP is talking out of both sides of its mouth.
June 19, 2008 at 4:40 pm
Strange goings on with AP. Must have been one of those wacky Thiaoobans Chalko keeps astral company with.
June 19, 2008 at 4:41 pm
link didn’t take, so, http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Thiaoouba_Prophecy
June 19, 2008 at 5:16 pm
Apparently Tom Chalko sent out a press release through Marketwire. MSNBC printed the release verbatim or nearly so, as far as I can tell.
The marketwire press release concievably was sent to the AP, and a condensed version of the press release distributed by them on the AP wire.
Here’s the Marketwire link, http://www.marketwire.com/mw/release.do?id=869983
showing that the source of the press release (the text of the CBS/AP/MSNBC stories is the press-release text) is Tom Chalko himself .
I think it’s safe to predict the *author* of the press release is also Chalko.
June 19, 2008 at 5:20 pm
You’re doing some great sleuthing, Sarah. If you want to write sleuthy posts here, BTW, you’re welcome to do so. I think it’s a shame your blog is sitting dormant.
June 19, 2008 at 7:25 pm
Well, hey, I went to see if there was any trace of the story coming across on the AP wire, as CBS claims and the AP is semi-sortof denying.
There was this story posted about 7:40 updating CBSNews.com Pulls Story Making Quake/Climate Link Claim noting Chalko as the source of the press release.
One thing I found interesting was Google has scrubbed the cache for stories linking AP and this Chalko story. The original links are still working for most of the Google hits, but the cache is wiped. I guess AP asked them to?
I did find a page http://wbal.com/stories/templates/default.aspx?a=8232&template=print-article.htm
that credited AP and was unconnected to CBS news – WBAL radio, an NBC affiliate station ran it with an AP credit.
that’s a tiny bit of evidence it might actually have been put out on the AP wire as CBS claims.
Most of the AP references are tied to CBS, but that one isn’t.
June 23, 2008 at 8:28 pm
You guys are good, I am going to have to come here more often. Thanks Geoff, and SarahW.
And I went to the planetarium and saw the pink floyd light shows when I was in High school Eddiebear.
July 3, 2008 at 1:51 pm
chalko isn’t just a pHd in laser holography, he’s also a professor of geophysics at mt best, an australian university, which makes him pretty qualified to talk about geothermal impacts of climate change
July 3, 2008 at 2:33 pm
You misread his qualifications. He’s head of the Geophysics Division at Scientific Engineering Research, which is located in Mt. Best. But if you look at the site, he’s being unduly modest, because he is apparently the only employee at SER. So he’s head of the whole shebang, which devotes much of its research to paranormal crap.
Even if he were a professor of geophysics, he wouldn’t be able to link climate change to internal temperatures without a chain of logical steps. Steps he completely neglected to fill in when he wrote his nonsensical news release.
July 6, 2008 at 1:47 am
Is Mt. Best accredited? If so, by whom? Is the accreditation agency widely recognized?
Just having a PhD doesn’t count. Common sense and (often) professional accreditation do count.
July 6, 2008 at 6:00 am
Is Mt. Best accredited?
It’s not even a school.
July 7, 2008 at 11:58 am
Sorry for being such a dunderhead.